Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 52.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Gaudreau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Gaudreau
Nosek
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Gaudreau
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Gaudreau
Nosek
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
3
Gaudreau
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
54.9% (2,710)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
45.8% (48)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
47.2% (428)
-0.5%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nosek
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nosek
P1
49.7%
52.2%
P2
47.3%
54.1%
P3
49.1%
54.7%
OT
35.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |