Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Gauthier wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.4% vs Oshie 45.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.5%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 80.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 56.4%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Gauthier
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gauthier
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Gauthier
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
1
0
Gauthier
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
57.7% (26)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
0.0% (5)
+31.6%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Gauthier is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Gauthier shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Oshie
Home
45.7% (46)
41.0% (78)
Away
41.4% (29)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Gauthier
Oshie
P1
51.9%
42.6%
P2
33.3%
41.9%
P3
44.4%
41.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |