Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Olofsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olofsson wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olofsson 41.7% vs Hayes 56.3% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.9%
Defensive zone
Olofsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Olofsson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Olofsson
Hayes
Last 6: Olofsson 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Olofsson
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olofsson
2
1
Olofsson
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Olofsson
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olofsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (311)
56.6% (724)
-15.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.0% (79)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
65.7% (35)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Olofsson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Olofsson shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Olofsson
Hayes
Home
40.5% (168)
58.0% (405)
Away
39.1% (233)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Olofsson
Hayes
P1
44.6%
54.7%
P2
40.1%
55.7%
P3
35.2%
60.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olofsson
44.0%▬
45.0%
39.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Fredrik Olofsson |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |