Fredrik Olofsson vs Mark Kastelic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Olofsson wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olofsson 41.7% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olofsson 62.7%
Defensive zone
Olofsson 80.9%
Neutral zone
Olofsson 77.3%
Result
Fredrik Olofsson favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Olofsson
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Olofsson
Kastelic
Last 5: Olofsson 1-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Olofsson
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olofsson
1
0
Olofsson
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Olofsson
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olofsson
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (311)
53.4% (337)
-12.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
100.0% (4)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Olofsson is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Olofsson shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Olofsson
Kastelic
Home
40.5% (168)
56.2% (162)
Away
39.1% (233)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Olofsson
Kastelic
P1
44.6%
58.2%
P2
40.1%
58.8%
P3
35.2%
45.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olofsson
44.0%▬
45.0%
39.7%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Fredrik Olofsson |