Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Guentzel 48.1% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 51.0%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 62.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Vilardi
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
49.1% (230)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
44.9% (118)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.2% (26)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Guentzel
Home
40.0% (50)
50.2% (205)
Away
45.7% (46)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Vilardi
Guentzel
P1
48.6%
47.6%
P2
37.1%
49.0%
P3
41.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%