Gabriel Vilardi vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 61.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Vilardi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Vilardi
Backlund
Last 10: Vilardi 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
6
3
Vilardi
Backlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Vilardi
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,054)
49.7% (13,463)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.0% (196)
51.5% (1,338)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
43.9% (2,465)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Vilardi has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Vilardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Vilardi shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Backlund
Home
47.1% (660)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
46.0% (617)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Vilardi
Backlund
P1
49.4%
48.5%
P2
43.7%
50.3%
P3
46.7%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |