Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Roy 51.9% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 85.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 86.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Vilardi
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
51.9% (547)
-10.5%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
54.1% (37)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
40.0% (50)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.7% (46)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
48.6%
53.5%
P2
37.1%
51.6%
P3
41.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%