Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Thomas 51.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 89.0%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 54.5%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 70.2%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Vilardi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Vilardi
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
50.3% (652)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
61.5% (104)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.2% (120)
-54.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
40.0% (50)
52.0% (400)
Away
45.7% (46)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
48.6%
49.6%
P2
37.1%
55.4%
P3
41.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |