Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Hintz 58.0% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 53.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 56.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Vilardi
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Vilardi
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Vilardi
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
58.7% (530)
-17.3%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
59.4% (170)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
66.7% (27)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hintz
Home
40.0% (50)
60.2% (354)
Away
45.7% (46)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Vilardi
Hintz
P1
48.6%
58.4%
P2
37.1%
59.8%
P3
41.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |