Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Zegras 37.0% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 54.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 62.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Vilardi
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
33.0% (264)
+8.4%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
32.1% (56)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Zegras
Home
40.0% (50)
35.3% (173)
Away
45.7% (46)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Vilardi
Zegras
P1
48.6%
33.0%
P2
37.1%
35.7%
P3
41.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%