Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 80.6%
Defensive zone
Haas 84.2%
Neutral zone
Haas 80.7%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Haas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Haas
Duchene
Last 5: Haas 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Haas
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Haas
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Haas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
53.9% (10,438)
-11.5%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
57.0% (1,677)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
49.1% (468)
+1.7%
On even strength, Duchene has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Haas
Duchene
Home
45.8% (371)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
41.1% (343)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Haas
Duchene
P1
39.6%
54.4%
P2
43.8%
54.5%
P3
47.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |