Garnet Hathaway vs Mavrik Bourque
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Garnet Hathaway holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hathaway 52.0% vs Bourque 46.5% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Hathaway 50.4%
Defensive zone
Bourque 73.7%
Neutral zone
Bourque 52.8%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hathaway
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hathaway
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (25)
46.8% (186)
+13.2%
On even strength, Hathaway has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Hathaway is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Hathaway shoots right. Bourque is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Hathaway
Bourque
Home
85.7% (7)
41.5% (106)
Away
50.0% (18)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Hathaway
Bourque
P1
57.1%
40.6%
P2
66.7%
39.0%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
80.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hathaway
54.0%▲
43.0%
60.0%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%