Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 46.6%). Smith wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Kasper 46.9% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Kasper 50.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 54.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 52.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Smith
Kasper
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (212)
47.2% (960)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
30.6% (36)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Kasper has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Smith
Kasper
Home
43.0% (114)
49.4% (474)
Away
50.4% (113)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Smith
Kasper
P1
45.6%
48.0%
P2
49.4%
51.0%
P3
45.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%