Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lapierre wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.3% vs Kunin 46.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 59.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 82.8%
Neutral zone
Kunin 76.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Lapierre
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lapierre
Kunin
Last 8: Lapierre 5-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
3
Lapierre
Kunin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (660)
47.0% (1,667)
-7.9%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
46.0% (139)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.3% (335)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Lapierre is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Lapierre shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Kunin
Home
39.1% (366)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
38.5% (309)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Lapierre
Kunin
P1
47.2%
47.7%
P2
38.7%
45.7%
P3
29.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |