Hendrix Lapierre vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs McCarron 52.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 53.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 78.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Lapierre
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lapierre
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
52.8% (697)
-11.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
18.2% (11)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.6% (211)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lapierre is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Lapierre
McCarron
Home
44.2% (138)
52.8% (477)
Away
37.6% (133)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Lapierre
McCarron
P1
55.2%
56.2%
P2
40.6%
52.4%
P3
26.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |