Hendrix Lapierre vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lapierre wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 71.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 64.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 51.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lapierre
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lapierre
Carpenter
Last 7: Lapierre 3-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Lapierre
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
3
Lapierre
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (660)
49.6% (2,027)
-10.5%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
41.5% (41)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (467)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lapierre is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Lapierre shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Carpenter
Home
39.1% (366)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
38.5% (309)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Lapierre
Carpenter
P1
47.2%
49.6%
P2
38.7%
47.7%
P3
29.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |