Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 82.7%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Lapierre
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lapierre
Steel
Last 7: Lapierre 1-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Lapierre
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Lapierre
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (660)
50.6% (2,876)
-11.5%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
62.6% (179)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.4% (254)
-37.4%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lapierre is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Lapierre shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Steel
Home
39.1% (366)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
38.5% (309)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Lapierre
Steel
P1
47.2%
51.9%
P2
38.7%
49.5%
P3
29.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |