Henrik Borgstrom vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Borgstrom wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 80.2%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 57.1%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 72.3%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Borgstrom
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Borgstrom
Pageau
Last 9: Borgstrom 3-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Borgstrom
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Borgstrom
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
2
0
Borgstrom
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (640)
55.8% (9,525)
-14.7%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
57.0% (1,008)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.6% (2,077)
-16.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Borgstrom is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Borgstrom shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Pageau
Home
42.4% (309)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
39.6% (364)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Borgstrom
Pageau
P1
44.9%
54.7%
P2
36.0%
56.3%
P3
42.6%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |