Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 48.7% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Sedin leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 91.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 83.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Sedin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Sedin
Hertl
Last 10: Sedin 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
5
2
Sedin
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
5
Sedin
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
6
2
Sedin
Hertl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (7,963)
53.9% (8,303)
-6.0%
Power Play
54.6% (1,500)
59.2% (1,995)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (285)
46.3% (806)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sedin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,435).
Sedin shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Sedin
Hertl
Home
50.4% (5,017)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
46.8% (4,760)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Sedin
Hertl
P1
47.9%
53.6%
P2
50.3%
54.2%
P3
47.4%
55.3%
OT
55.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |