Scouting Report
Hunter McKown holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKown 52.4% vs Carter 53.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKown 55.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.5%
Neutral zone
McKown 54.2%
Result
Hunter McKown favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McKown
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McKown
Carter
Last 9: McKown 4-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
McKown
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKown
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKown
2
1
McKown
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKown
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (76)
53.3% (8,728)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. McKown is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
McKown shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
McKown
Carter
Home
54.0% (50)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
56.8% (37)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
McKown
Carter
P1
60.7%
53.6%
P2
59.3%
52.8%
P3
46.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKown
46.0%▼
55.2%
55.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |