Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Guentzel 48.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 79.3%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 77.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Lundeström
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundeström
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Lundeström
Guentzel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.1% (230)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
44.9% (118)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
46.2% (26)
+3.8%
On power play, Lundeström has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Guentzel
Home
49.6% (139)
50.2% (205)
Away
57.1% (105)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Lundeström
Guentzel
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
53.5%
49.0%
P3
51.9%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |