Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Tavares 56.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.1%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Lundeström
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundeström
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lundeström
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
57.7% (975)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.0% (250)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Tavares
Home
49.6% (139)
57.4% (636)
Away
57.1% (105)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Lundeström
Tavares
P1
53.8%
57.5%
P2
53.5%
56.9%
P3
51.9%
57.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |