Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 56.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Last 6: Lundeström 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lundeström
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Lundeström
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.7% (292)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
On even strength, Lundeström has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lundeström is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Lundeström shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (139)
48.7% (193)
Away
57.1% (105)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Lundeström
Bjugstad
P1
53.8%
41.5%
P2
53.5%
57.3%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |