Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Paul 53.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 50.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundeström
Paul
Last 5: Lundeström 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Lundeström
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
53.7% (354)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.0% (61)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
49.6% (139)
55.1% (216)
Away
57.1% (105)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
53.8%
54.9%
P2
53.5%
54.5%
P3
51.9%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |