Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 61.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Lundeström
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lundeström
Kuraly
Last 8: Lundeström 5-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lundeström
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
4
1
Lundeström
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,992)
51.6% (5,161)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
56.4% (101)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
44.4% (1,091)
-3.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,464).
Lundeström shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Kuraly
Home
47.0% (1,829)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
45.8% (1,819)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Lundeström
Kuraly
P1
49.3%
51.2%
P2
45.6%
50.0%
P3
44.5%
50.2%
OT
45.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 9, 2021 | OT | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |