Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Hertl 57.5% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lundeström
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
58.7% (858)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.8% (285)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
49.6% (139)
60.1% (599)
Away
57.1% (105)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
53.8%
52.4%
P2
53.5%
63.9%
P3
51.9%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%