Ivan Barbashev vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +24.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-24.8%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 52.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
47.3% (207)
-27.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (3)
-57.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Home
23.1% (26)
46.5% (129)
Away
23.1% (26)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
P1
36.4%
51.3%
P2
6.7%
46.1%
P3
20.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%