Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +38.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Toews 60.4% (-38.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 51.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Barbashev
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
62.6% (728)
-42.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
59.4% (143)
-16.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Toews
Home
23.1% (26)
61.1% (455)
Away
23.1% (26)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Barbashev
Toews
P1
36.4%
59.7%
P2
6.7%
66.7%
P3
20.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%