Ivan Barbashev vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +26.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Backlund 49.8% (-26.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Barbashev
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barbashev
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
50.5% (944)
-30.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
51.5% (66)
-8.6%
On even strength, Backlund has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Backlund
Home
23.1% (26)
48.1% (636)
Away
23.1% (26)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Barbashev
Backlund
P1
36.4%
45.4%
P2
6.7%
54.1%
P3
20.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |