Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +23.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Kadri 46.9% (-23.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.1%
Defensive zone
Kadri 53.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 52.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Barbashev
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Barbashev
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
46.5% (866)
-26.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
48.8% (86)
-5.9%
On even strength, Kadri has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kadri
Home
23.1% (26)
45.8% (513)
Away
23.1% (26)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Barbashev
Kadri
P1
36.4%
52.4%
P2
6.7%
48.5%
P3
20.0%
39.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |