Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 56.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 53.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 52.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
45.9% (697)
-25.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
47.9% (117)
-5.0%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
23.1% (26)
44.9% (434)
Away
23.1% (26)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
36.4%
41.5%
P2
6.7%
46.7%
P3
20.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |