Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +28.9% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (-28.9%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 71.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Barbashev
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
53.0% (700)
-33.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
54.1% (109)
-11.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
23.1% (26)
51.6% (438)
Away
23.1% (26)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
36.4%
57.0%
P2
6.7%
48.9%
P3
20.0%
50.5%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%