Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Nosek 53.6% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 53.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 64.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Barbashev
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Barbashev
Nosek
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Barbashev
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
1
Barbashev
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Barbashev
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,740)
54.9% (2,710)
-12.9%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
45.8% (48)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
47.2% (428)
-10.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
42.4% (934)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
40.8%
52.2%
P2
42.3%
54.1%
P3
42.2%
54.7%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |