Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 50-33 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 65.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 88.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 82.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
50
(83 meetings)
33
50
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
25
Compher
Tavares
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
23
12
Compher
Tavares
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
13
Compher
Tavares
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
54.0% (16,169)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
56.4% (4,298)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
50.5% (624)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
49.0% (3,917)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
49.0%
55.0%
P2
47.2%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
54.0%
OT
40.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |