Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Toews 60.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 65.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Compher
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Toews
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Compher
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
62.6% (728)
-9.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
59.4% (143)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
46.9% (32)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Compher
Toews
Home
51.3% (452)
61.1% (455)
Away
51.5% (458)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Compher
Toews
P1
54.9%
59.7%
P2
49.0%
66.7%
P3
50.6%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |