Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-12 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 94.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 81.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 91.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
25
(37 meetings)
12
25
Compher
Staal
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
9
Compher
Staal
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
9
Compher
Staal
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
7
Compher
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
55.9% (14,654)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
62.7% (1,762)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
47.9% (2,907)
-6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
49.0% (3,917)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
49.0%
55.2%
P2
47.2%
55.9%
P3
47.4%
54.8%
OT
40.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |