Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 75.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 60.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Compher
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Carlsson
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Compher
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
44.9% (690)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.0% (83)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
33.3% (84)
+3.5%
On even strength, Compher has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Carlsson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Compher
Carlsson
Home
51.3% (452)
42.5% (428)
Away
51.5% (458)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Compher
Carlsson
P1
54.9%
45.1%
P2
49.0%
39.0%
P3
50.6%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |