Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 61.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 78.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 67.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Compher
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Compher
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
41.8% (648)
+4.0%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
37.3% (51)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
38.7% (31)
+3.2%
On even strength, Compher has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Compher
Carlsson
Home
45.1% (519)
44.5% (362)
Away
45.1% (494)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Compher
Carlsson
P1
45.8%
46.3%
P2
46.2%
35.1%
P3
43.2%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |