Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 60.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Compher
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Compher
Scheifele
Last 5: Compher 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
48.1% (1,045)
-2.6%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
48.6% (181)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
44.4% (27)
-2.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Compher
Scheifele
Home
44.0% (484)
52.7% (630)
Away
45.4% (555)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Compher
Scheifele
P1
46.2%
50.3%
P2
44.8%
46.8%
P3
44.2%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |