Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs McTavish 49.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 82.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 65.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Compher
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Compher
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
47.6% (618)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
58.3% (103)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
33.3% (6)
+3.5%
On even strength, Compher has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Compher
McTavish
Home
51.3% (452)
52.2% (391)
Away
51.5% (458)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Compher
McTavish
P1
54.9%
50.2%
P2
49.0%
47.7%
P3
50.6%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |