Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 62.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Compher
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Compher
Backlund
Last 9: Compher 4-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Compher
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
50.5% (944)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
51.5% (66)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
47.1% (297)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Compher
Backlund
Home
51.3% (452)
48.1% (636)
Away
51.5% (458)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Compher
Backlund
P1
54.9%
45.4%
P2
49.0%
54.1%
P3
50.6%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |