Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 79.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Compher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Compher
Dowd
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
6
1
Compher
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
5
Compher
Dowd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
8
Compher
Dowd
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
56.1% (164)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
44.1% (1,638)
-2.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Compher
Dowd
Home
49.0% (3,917)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Compher
Dowd
P1
49.0%
51.5%
P2
47.2%
50.4%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
OT
40.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |