Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Paul 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 80.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Compher
Paul
Last 6: Compher 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
53.7% (354)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
59.0% (61)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
52.9% (34)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
51.3% (452)
55.1% (216)
Away
51.5% (458)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
54.9%
54.9%
P2
49.0%
54.5%
P3
50.6%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |