Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 83.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 78.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
22
(35 meetings)
13
22
Compher
Paul
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
10
Compher
Paul
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
6
Compher
Paul
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Compher
Paul
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
52.6% (3,823)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
56.2% (484)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
46.9% (576)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
49.0% (3,917)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
49.0%
53.8%
P2
47.2%
51.0%
P3
47.4%
52.2%
OT
40.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |