Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Roy 48.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 55.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 51.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Compher
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
21
(34 meetings)
13
21
Compher
Roy
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Compher
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Compher
Roy
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
10
Compher
Roy
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
48.7% (3,719)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
49.5% (283)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
45.5% (477)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Compher
Roy
Home
49.0% (3,917)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Compher
Roy
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
47.2%
46.3%
P3
47.4%
48.1%
OT
40.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |