J.T. Compher vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 76.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
46.0% (250)
+7.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
70.6% (17)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
31.8% (22)
+5.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.3% (452)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.5% (458)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.9%
48.5%
P2
49.0%
45.9%
P3
50.6%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |