Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Steel 50.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 57.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 60.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Compher
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
52.5% (200)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
40.0% (45)
-3.2%
On power play, Steel has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
51.3% (452)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.5% (458)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
54.9%
49.5%
P2
49.0%
47.5%
P3
50.6%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |