Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Compher
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Compher
Monahan
Last 8: Compher 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Compher
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
53.0% (874)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.7% (161)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
47.5% (101)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Compher
Monahan
Home
51.3% (452)
53.8% (558)
Away
51.5% (458)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Compher
Monahan
P1
54.9%
49.5%
P2
49.0%
54.8%
P3
50.6%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |