Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 44-34 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 68.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 83.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 73.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
44
(78 meetings)
34
44
Compher
Hertl
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
24
Compher
Hertl
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
20
9
Compher
Hertl
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
11
Compher
Hertl
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
53.9% (8,303)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
59.2% (1,995)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
46.3% (806)
-4.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
49.0% (3,917)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
49.0%
53.6%
P2
47.2%
54.2%
P3
47.4%
55.3%
OT
40.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |