Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 78.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 71.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Compher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Compher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Compher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
47.2% (687)
+5.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
45.0% (20)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
33.0% (88)
+3.8%
On power play, Compher has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Compher
Gourde
Home
51.3% (452)
44.4% (356)
Away
51.5% (458)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Compher
Gourde
P1
54.9%
42.2%
P2
49.0%
50.0%
P3
50.6%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |